sarahhecht

Apr 05

Playoff Picture: April 5th

By sarahhecht Posted in: playoffs
Clinching a playoff berth will be cause for celebration tonight in the Rose Garden.

The Trail Blazers magic number sits at one. This means that with a Houston loss and/or a Portland win the Trail Blazers are officially headed to the playoffs.

There’s one small kink in this scenario. Because the math used for the magic number includes an additional -1 for holding the season series over Houston, and tiebreakers are only assessed when necessary, “technically” Portland will only clinch tonight with one of the following outcomes:

 - Portland win AND Memphis win
 - Houston loss

You’re probably thinking, what? Huh? That doesn’t make sense. A stand-alone Portland win won’t result in clinching playoff berth because this scenario is still in play:

 - Portland loses remaining games
 - Houston wins remaining games

This could result in a four-way tie with Portland, Memphis, New Orleans and Houston. Depending on the outcome of the final Memphis vs. New Orleans game and the tiebreakers that result, this could bump Portland from the post-season.

I know this isn’t likely to play out, but you should know the reasoning behind the “Portland win AND Memphis win” requirement.

What are your thoughts on this crazy complication?

Last night's scores and effects:


UCONN was the bell of the ball last night with a 51-43 win over Butler. Due to the NCAA Championship there were no NBA games.



Today’s games with Western Conference potential playoff teams:


 San Antonio Spurs (58-19) vs.  Atlanta Hawks (44-33)
San Antonio sits atop the Western Conference. A win or a loss will keep them in 1st. With the Lakers making a push for the top seed the Spurs need a win to keep the distance between them at two and a half games.

 LA Clippers (30-47) vs.  Memphis Grizzlies (44-33) Trail Blazers fans should be rooting for Memphis tonight. (See above for explanation.) The Grizzles hold the 8th spot in the Western Conference. A win over the Clippers will move them into the 7th seed and could lead to the Trail Blazers clinching a playoff berth. A win coupled with a Portland loss would see Memphis jump into the 6th seed.

 Sacramento Kings (22-54) vs.  Houston Rockets (41-36)
Down with the Rockets. A Houston loss guarantees a playoff berth for the Trail Blazers. The Rockets sit in 9th in the West trailing Memphis by three full games. A win will keep their playoff dreams alive, but just barely.

 Oklahoma City Thunder (50-26) vs.  Denver Nuggets (47-29) You can’t go wrong with a matchup between the 4th and 5th seeds in the West. Oklahoma City will remain in 4th and Denver will stay in 5th regardless of the outcome of this one. The excitement comes from the potential playoff preview.

 Golden State Warriors (33-44) vs.  Portland Trail Blazers (45-32) Let’s add another “W” to the eight-game Rose Garden winning streak. Portland needs a win to maintain 6th in the West. A win could see the Trail Blazers clinch a playoff berth. (See scenarios above for more details.) A loss coupled with a Memphis win would see the Portland fall to 7th, New Orleans pushed to 8th and Memphis jump to 6th.

 Utah Jazz (36-41) vs.  LA Lakers (55-21)
Los Angeles continues their push for 1st in the Western Conference. A win or a loss will keep them in 2nd. They sit two and a half games behind San Antonio. Wins by both teams will keep the gap the same. A Spurs win and a Lakers loss will increase the gap to three and a half, while a Spurs loss and a Lakers win will close the gap to one and a half.

Here are the playoff match-ups as of today:




(Tables courtesy of NBA.com)

4 Comments

  1. Sarah: I have been waiting and waiting, I am about to be off to bowling for the day and night, two different leagues.

    My way of thinking is we will eventually win that game, if we don't win tonight. but a not for seen Portland loss and the Grizzlies win would put the space between NOH, Grizzlies and the Blazers as tied and Blazers would drop to eighth because of the tie breaker with NO. Grizzlies would go to sixth with tie breaker over NO. Anyway that is the way I have it figured. It would be so much easier if Portland won and the Grizzlies loses. but I don't see the Griz losing so we have to win regardless of the eventual outcome.

    We just have to go out and do it. I will have to miss the game tonight so give an extra rah for me since you wouldn't buy an extra Mike's shirt for me LOL.

    Thank you Miss Sarah

    by Hg on 4/5/2011 10:16 AM
  2. Still rooting for Memphis to lose! If we can't win 2 more games, then that's on us. I don't want to back into the playoffs. But sooner rather than later Houston will drop a game or we'll win 2 and our ticket will be punched for the playoffs by the end of the week.

    by DHawes22 on 4/5/2011 10:20 AM
  3. Ok so after our win and the Grizzlies win we are in!!! We have to be able to beat the Warriors and have the momentum needed for the next two games - UT away and then 2nd night of back to back home against the kobettes - we will need the wins to carry our energy through those two games. We can do it - I believe! GOOOO BLAZERS!!!!

    by Dio Freeman on 4/5/2011 10:26 AM
  4. i agree with Dustin. let's control our own destiny and let the other teams falter if they will. i think a memphis loss inevitably helps us more. let's put some distance between us and the grizzlies and hornets. i'm very much looking forward to this game tonight. i hope we play up to our level rather than down to the warriors' level.

    by Kassandra on 4/5/2011 2:15 PM
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