Roland Tran's Blog


Feb 10

Getting equal value

By Roland
Regarding the Bayless trade for a conditional 1st pick. I'm not saying that pick will be a waste, it's just lower than our initial expectations. Chances are the pick will be in the 20s of the 1st round which is a big difference from #8-#15. Keeping Bayless and Webster (to be fair) up till this point would have leverage us during this trading period. Bayless was a #11 pick and Webster was a #6 pick. We are not getting equal return for what we gave up. As in any transaction, the desire is to procure equal or greater value than what you gave away. 

I'll soon opine about a list of players we should get. In there is Jeremy Lin.Three main reasons.

He's asian, he's smart (Harvard guy) and he's got size and athleticism, 6'5 (w/ the proper development he will be our Russell Westbrook)


  1. sure, the pick won't be what we were anticipating, though we don't know how the season will pan out for the hornets. the thing to keep in mind about comparing #11 to #20 or even #25 is that most scouts and experts are projecting this summer's draft to be a very thick one with a lot of quality out there, better than in the past couple of years. in some cases, a #20 pick in a thick draft can equate to a #11 in a thin draft. like i said, it's something to keep in mind.

    by Kassandra on 2/10/2011 9:32 PM
  2. You're still missing the point which is the difference between the 10th pick and the 24th pick. With the 10th pick you can trade that and player/cash for 2 late 1st round picks. Simply, you can do more w/ a 10th pick than a 24th pick. Keeping Bayless an till this point in the season could better leverage us w/a higher pick than what we will get from NO.

    This summer's draft will be better than last yrs draft which isn't saying much. I doubt it is as good as the '97 draft (Kobe's yr), '03 (LBJ yr), '06 (BRoy yr) or even '09 (Griffins yr). It will be mediocre at best. Four game changing players and 5-10 impact players. That's about it.

    by Roland on 2/10/2011 9:51 PM
  3. i'm not going to argue with you if all you're going to do is predict the future to your own ends. the bottom line is, you don't know any more than anyone else who and what is going to happen in the future. furthermore, if you want to make the claim that this year's draft will be "mediocre at best," go right ahead. be advised, however, that i for one am going to take the word of numerous expert college basketball analysts over you.

    and finally, some friendly advice: Bayless is gone. you need to move on from a trade which happened nearly four months ago. in other words, stop living in the past, deal with the present and look forward to the future. there, i've said my peace.

    by Kassandra on 2/10/2011 10:05 PM
  4. Ouchhh.... I'm not dwelling in the past just simply stating that the Bayless deal did not turn out the way Rich Cho intended. Had we known now (Armon not yet ready for backup pg role) what we didn't back then or assumed (Armon is the pg of the future), we wouldn't have made that Bayless deal.

    You are right in that I need to move on from Bayless cuz I am a big fan of his game. He is a Russell Westbrook w/ proper development (scoring guard coverted into pg). It's unfortunate it didn't turn out that way.

    Lastly, collegiate success doesn't translate to NBA success. Rich Cho once talked about how only 15% of players drafted stay on NBA rosters after 5 yrs. So I proceed w/ caution.

    by Roland on 2/10/2011 10:17 PM
  5. I don't think we have to take the pick this year. I think we get 8 or lower from NOH in the draft this year, or we have the option of going 9 or lower next year. If they come up with the 28th pick, it's probably a better idea to go ahead and save it for next year.

    by axekincaid2190 on 2/11/2011 1:56 PM
  6. It's 8 and higher and 9 and higher respectively

    by Roland on 2/11/2011 2:16 PM
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