Jun 20

ESPN: Faried Could Be Kersey

By caseyholdahl Posted in: 2011draft

Over at ESPN's TrueHoop blog, Peter Newmann and Dean Oliver ask if Morehead State's Kenneth Faried, a player many mock drafts have the Trail Blazers selecting at pick No. 21, is worth taking in the lottery based on advanced metrics.

The hypothesis is that rebounding, a skill at which Faried excels, is "the single statistic most likely to translate to the next level" according to Newmann and Oliver. And since Faried is the most prolific rebounders in the draft, Newmann and Oliver ask if he's undervalued, especially in a draft with no sure-fire superstars. The supposition is driven home when Faried's collegiate rebounding numbers are compared to that of former players, including a much-beloved Trail Blazer.
Of the players who compare well to Faried, chances are that you know a few. How about DeMarcus Cousins, Hakeem Olajuwon, Shawn Marion, Jerome Kersey or Antonio McDyess?

But it's Kersey to whom he might be most similar.

Faried's offensive numbers -- 14.8 points per game on 56.9 percent shooting -- don't jump off the page, but neither did Kersey's, who averaged 17.0 points on 57.0 percent shooting while grabbing a rebound every 2.6 minutes and a steal or block every 7.7. minutes for Division II Longwood before being drafted by the Blazers with the No. 46 overall pick in 1984.

If Faried ends up with a 15-year career like Kersey, playing rotation to starter minutes, is that worth a lottery pick? Probably so.
A player like Mercy, Mercy Jerome Kersey would be well worth taking with a lottery pick, especially in this draft. Of course that would mean the Trail Blazers would have to move up if they wanted to add Faried to the depth chart, and there's no telling if that kind of move would be cost feasible.

Dwight Jaynes over at questions the comparison between Faried and Kersey, with the main sticking point being that Kersey was "much quicker athlete and as a rookie, probably closer to being an NBA rotation player than Faried is." Makes some sense, especially considering Kersey was more of a straight three, whereas Faried is projected by most as a four.

For what it's worth, Faried compared himself to a different player during his workout in Portland a few weeks back.


  1. Can't wait to see how it all plays out :) another "Kersey" like player would be awesome!

    by Dio Freeman on 6/20/2011 9:14 AM
  2. Hey Casey:

    I think Faried would be great whether he is a Jerome Kersey or not, but I don't think he will be available at 21. That is why I went with Vucevic at 21, but now it seems as he may not be available at 21. I just hope we pick a big that can help fill the hole until Greg returns, if Greg does return.

    by Hg on 6/20/2011 12:19 PM
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